1st May 2022
Orion Farming Group Annual General Meeting
Please may we remind you that the 2022 AGM will be held on Tuesday 10th May 2022 at Millets Farm Centre, Kingston Road, Abingdon, Oxon OX13 5HB at 11.30am.
With regards the catering arrangements, a buffet lunch will be served and so it is imperative that you reply by 3rd May 2022 if you are planning to attend. Please also inform us of any dietary requirements. Thank You.
John Norton, General Manager, 01865 393131
Bespoke Disease Forecasting to Protect Crops with Sencrop
Arable farmers in the UK can now make use of super-local weather indicators combined with disease forecasting to make more efficient use of control measures like fungicide applications.
Sencrop, which is known for its highly accurate smart local weather stations, has joined forces with the Information System for Integrated Plant production (ISIP) to provide bespoke disease forecasting for farmers based on pooled and individual data.
Taking into account local temperature, humidity and precipitation, the system will predict risk levels for diseases affecting winter wheat, barley, rye, triticale and spring barley between 15 February and 30 June. This will enable farmers to react to times of high disease pressure and protect crop quality and yield.
“Farmers can connect their individual crops to local weather data via their weather station and app, to receive crop-specific information and risk calculations,” says Lucie D'Haene, product manager and agronomist at Sencrop.
Common diseases covered include Septoria tritici, yellow and brown rust, powdery mildew, leaf blotch, net blotch, ramularia and leaf rust. “This will support farmers in assessing the disease infection pressure and assist them in taking the right actions to maximise crop quality.”
Manfred Röhrig, managing director of ISIP adds: “By integrating local weather data, the quality of the model statements is raised to a new level. No other data source can make it more precise."
Sencrop is now working with farmers, producer groups, agronomists and consultants in 26 countries worldwide to provide ultra-local real-time weather data. By integrating with ISIP it’s giving farmers on its PLUS plan an easy and quick overview of which crops require action.
“By seeing the crop risk in real time, farmers can easily drive to the affected fields for on-site inspections, saving time and fuel,” says Harry Atkinson, UK Business Development Manager “Given the soaring cost of inputs, from fuel to fertiliser, farmers want to hone efficiencies as much as possible, and combining individual and pooled data can help them to do that.”
Sencrop is an innovative ag-tech startup based at Euratechnologies in France, the third-largest startup accelerator in Europe. The company, founded in 2016 by Michael Bruniaux and Martin Ducroquet, became the European leader in 5 years. Sencrop has the biggest ag-weather network of stations in Europe with more than 18,500 growers connected to its solution, and counts on 100 dedicated farmer-servicing members in its European offices. For more information visit www.sencrop.com or call Kelly on 07723 580941.
Cefetra Market Report - May 2022
Our markets continue to be dominated by the war in Ukraine
You will not be surprised to hear us say that the war in Ukraine is still a large driver in grain price discovery. The last month has brought no let-up in hostilities, and each news bulletin is painful to watch.
The difficulty faced by the grain trade is in trying to work out how much of the Ukrainian stocks are still accessible for westward export by road and rail for the near-term supply, and whether new sowings have been made and what is the prospect for tending those crops and getting them to safe harvest later in the year. In broad terms, the “war premium” appears to be around £60-£70 in terms of UK wheat, with a good £10 or so each side as the floating volatility that each fresh episode brings when it hits the headlines.
Clearly this situation and the impact on external markets and economic activity is not easy to evaluate on a personal level. We just don’t know what happens next, so to second guess these things is akin to trusting to luck, or more brutally – gambling. Stick with what you know – your own farm business and the markets you directly have a stake in.
To that end, we see that the last month has brought a nice continuation of the trend to the upside, with London Wheat futures having gained around £30pmt for November delivery, with only a normal pullback recently on profit-taking and slow news days, and when we look outside and consider the decent local crop and weather conditions. European markets are obviously more immediately affected by the Ukraine situation, but their prices show the same increase (Paris Milling Wheat futures are up almost exactly the same amount as London, given a normalised currency conversion). Chicago wheat, the worlds backstop in terms of grain supply is also well valued, but the big money men – the Funds - are taking a breather there, probably in preparation for the silly season that is the North American Weather market. With such nervousness about exportable supplies (remember the Black Sea Region speaks for 30% of global exports) any perceived issue with new crop production is going to fuel even more price rises. Dryness in southern Europe and North Africa has eased lately but it remains to be seen if there is enough time for recovery in their crops.
There are concerns about slowing demand from China as millions are in Covid-19 lockdown, and also outbreaks of Avian Flu in the EU and US, but although these bearish aspects are not hurting prices at the moment they should not be forgotten.
Output prices are only one side of the equation though, and it is very easy to think that they have to be up in order to counter the wild input costs we must expect to face, though this relationship is really not well linked, particularly in the short term. However, it is with some relief that we have seen a pullback from the spectre of 4-figure fertiliser prices. At the time of writing, Nitram is trading at £760 delivered, and although this is still a 3-fold increase over last year, we advise keeping close to your gross margin calculator, as there will be days where even these big numbers still make for a healthy bottom line, and should be booked in to some degree. In our last note we advocated no more than 30% cover on forward sales, and can see little to change this view any more than some minor tweaking as you become more comfortable with your yield expectations.
Do keep in close discussion with your merchant about likely pricing and your own targets. There will be volatility and change, but that will also give opportunity, so if everyone knows their aims – both financial and logistical – then we can act quickly for everyone’s benefit.
If you wish to discuss your grain marketing, please do not hesitate to contact us:
Feed & Livestock Section
With the price of fuel at unprecedented levels, disruption to the supply chain in certain areas, as well as driver shortages, suppliers and hauliers are continuing to look at ways to make their logistics operation more efficient and cost effective, which may result in lead times for deliveries being extended beyond 5 working days. Suppliers who use their own transport will endeavour to adhere to their lead times, however those suppliers who rely on third party hauliers cannot offer the same guarantee. Please be aware of this when placing orders and ensure you allow a couple of extra days for your delivery to arrive.
Calf Milk Powder
As is the case each year, the Group will again be looking to pool tonnage requirements for milk powders and will be asking suppliers to quote for the bulk of the Group business. The main period during which suppliers will be asked to provide any additional savings will be between July and September. Requirement forms will be sent out to members in June.
Several members like to keep an eye on how the straights markets are performing, especially at the moment with unprecedented volatility in the markets. To that end, a weekly update is sent via email every Tuesday to Members using straights feeds, with guide prices for all main feed commodities. It tracks price and currency changes to provide information and updates on market changes, as well as a brief market report highlighting how the major commodities are performing globally and any impact that might have on the domestic market. Please contact the office if you would like to be added to the distribution list to receive this information.
Totally irrelevant but quite interesting facts of the month…
Loch Ness is deep enough and long enough to contain the entire population of the world ten times over and the average pencil can write 45,000 words, or a single line 35 miles long.
For more details on any matter raised in the Feed & Livestock section, please contact Joe in the office:
Joe Cobb, Feed & Livestock Manager, 01865 393 139
Please place your AgChem orders
With uncertainty of supply, potential shortages and logistical issues, you are strongly advised to place your agchem requirements as soon as possible, with the Orion office, for the following products:
AVIATOR 235 XPRO
For more details, please contact Shelley in the office:
Shelley Dancy, Chemicals Coordinator, 01865 393 135
New Supplier to Orion Farming Group
We welcome The Farm Consultancy Group to Orion.
Health and Safety Service
Working together with our clients we collate all policies and paperwork including a health and safety policy, risk assessments, hazard maps for the farmyard and fields, handbooks for employees and contractors which show all the relevant information they will need.
We offer practical ongoing support to ensure that all tasks are undertaken as safely as possible, taking into account the practicalities of the task and the farm. I have undertaken both IOSH and NEBOSH health and safety training qualifications in addition to having grown up and worked on farms my whole life, so I also have practical experience and knowledge enabling me to advise on the best safety practices.
On registering a new client, we will meet on farm to carry out an initial audit allowing us to create a bespoke policy and risk assessments tailored to that specific farm. In most cases subsequent meetings at 6 monthly intervals are advisable to update the farm information and ensure full compliance at all times.
Combined Cross Compliance Service and Assurance Assistance
Cross Compliance provides all the necessary documentation, such as manure management plans, soil risk maps, livestock calculations, N loading calculations, and slurry storage calculations. We also offer help collating field records of organic manure applications and fertiliser applications to show farms are compliant with NMAX limits. In addition, we can assist in creating all necessary paperwork required for audits including farm assurance and will complete a farm walk to help point out what the auditor may be looking for.
Cross Compliance and assurance schemes so often tend to be inter-linked, so we offer this as one combined service.
As part of assisting with any assurance audits, we help with collating all documentation that would be required. This includes the health and safety, and cross compliance documentation listed above. We also help put together emergency plans and contacts, employee training records, vermin control documentation, environmental protection documents. We will help collate all documents ready for an audit and look round the farm to point out any potential non-conformancies the auditor may find before the day of the audit.
The Farm Consultancy Group Rural Compliance Service is competitively priced and billed, either on a monthly direct debit or a single set up fee plus ongoing support charged at an hourly rate. Clients can choose to take up either a health and safety service, or the combined the cross compliance and assurance assistance separately, or combine the services suit their own needs.
To find out more contact the team at County on 01865 844985
Full Power Utilities for Farms:
towards Net Zero
There are many contributing factors to the increase in energy prices over the last few months. A lack of LNG (Liquified Natural Gas) supply into UK ports and low European storage levels all contribute to record high prices. In addition, low wind generation meant the UK grid was heavily reliant on gas and coal to meet power demands.
However, more recently, with the continued alarming situation between Russia and Ukraine, UK prices spiked again. Suppliers fear for substantial supply disruptions. Although Russia has said it will keep exporting natural gas, it could halt flows in retaliation against harsh Western sanctions. Analysts are also worried about the ability to refill natural gas inventories before next winter, which could be more complicated if the Ukraine war prolongs, meaning the high price rises we are seeing could be around for a lot longer.
As a result, while the market continues to be extremely volatile, many suppliers have decided to suspend pricing, or some choose to pull prices within hours/days of quoting.
"For most business owners' price is the main driver of any decision, especially when consuming a large amount of energy. Trying to find additional £ 1000's to allocate to their energy bills each year can be a worrying time. We work with over 40 commercial energy suppliers, all of whom have unique strengths. In the current market, timing is everything and using a well-established energy consultant will help you choose the right supplier, at the right price, at the right time." Joey Kolirin, Energy Consultant, Full Power Utilities.
If you would like some helpful advice and a free energy review on your costs, get in touch with our energy partner today.